The Behavior of Stock Market Manias

Posted on 21 CommentsPosted in Books, Case Studies

I’ve heard more and more commentary/concern about the level of the overall market lately. With the market relentlessly marching to new all-time highs just about every day, I’ve even begun to hear the word “bubble” being used. While I certainly don’t think the market overall is cheap, and while I certainly believe it’s very possible that a bear market could occur at any time, we are definitely not in a bubble. Anyone who thinks that the current market is reaching […]

Charlie Munger’s Most Important Concept (Takeaways from the DJCO Meeting)

Posted on 14 CommentsPosted in Charlie Munger, Investment Philosophy, Think Differently

A couple weeks ago, I flew to Los Angeles to listen to Charlie Munger at the Daily Journal annual meeting. These days, you can read the transcript of these events or even watch it on YouTube, so there is less of a practical reason to attend the actual event. But the main reason I enjoy these events is to meet with people. I have as much fun at the peripheral gatherings as I do at the main event. It’s nice […]

Saber Capital 2016 Investor Letter

Posted on Leave a commentPosted in Uncategorized

I recently wrote my annual investor letter to my clients at Saber Capital Management. I thought I’d share that letter with readers, since I posted it to my firm’s website. If you’re interested, you can view the letter here: Saber Capital Investor Letter – 2016 Review I am also in the process of updating my firm’s website. This page will occasionally be updated with investor letters and other write-ups, notes, and commentary: Saber Capital Letters and Commentary If you’re interested in […]

Analyst Ratings and the Institutional Imperative

Posted on 12 CommentsPosted in General Thoughts, Investment Quotes, Think Differently, Warren Buffett

Buffett talks a lot about the concept he calls the “institutional imperative”. In his 1989 shareholder letter, when he was describing his mistakes of the first 25 years managing Berkshire, he outlines what he means by this (emphasis mine): “My most surprising discovery: the overwhelming importance in business of an unseen force that we might call “the institutional imperative.” In business school, I was given no hint of the imperative’s existence and I did not intuitively understand it when I […]

Importance of Knowing Your Investment Boundaries (Sears Mini-Case Study)

Posted on 21 CommentsPosted in Case Studies, Charlie Munger, Investment Philosophy

A few months ago we had an interesting post/discussion on the site where Matt Brice and I share some of our research and investment ideas. The topic was Munger’s ability to quickly discard an investment opportunity if it was something he didn’t understand or a business he didn’t like. The comment that Munger made regarding the business of cattle ranching was one of the key takeaways that stayed with me from the 2016 Berkshire Annual Meeting—in short, the discipline that […]

What is Your Edge?

Posted on 29 CommentsPosted in Industry-Banks, Investment Philosophy, Saber Capital Management

A couple months ago I read an investment write-up on a large-cap stock that is one of the most widely followed and largest companies in the S&P 500. There was a comment that basically asked the following question: “What is your edge with this stock?” The implication of this question is that there isn’t any edge to be had with large, well-followed stocks, but there is an edge to be gained with small, underfollowed stocks. This is a commonly held […]

Two Important Investment Principles

Posted on 8 CommentsPosted in Investment Philosophy, Portfolio Management

I was recently reading through some old investor interviews from the excellent Graham and Doddsville newsletter from Columbia Business School, and I came across an interview from Glenn Greenberg of Brave Warrior (formerly Chieftain Capital). A couple years ago I commented on a talk that Glenn Greenberg did at Columbia, where he discussed his investment approach. My own investment approach tends to fall in line with Greenberg’s investment philosophy as well as his portfolio management approach. Despite a few misses […]

Saber Capital Investor Note – Thoughts on the Election

Posted on 1 CommentPosted in Investor Letters, Saber Capital Management

I wrote a note to my clients last week regarding my general thoughts on the presidential election, some broader historical reference points, as well as how I tend to think about these major political and macro-oriented events from my perch as an investor in stocks at Saber Capital Management. I spend most of my free time doing the same thing I do when I’m working: reading and thinking about businesses and possible investments. But I keep tabs on sports and […]

The Competitive Advantage of an Owner-Operator

Posted on 13 CommentsPosted in Case Studies, General Thoughts, Investment Philosophy

I gave a talk at an investing conference in Philadelphia last week where I discussed my overall approach to investment along with three broad categories where I think investors could focus to gain an edge (I’ll share the slides in a later post). I don’t attend many of these industry events, but it is fun to attend them occasionally, as I got to meet with a few Saber Capital clients who live in the NYC/NJ/Philly area as well as other […]

Buffett’s Three Categories of Returns on Capital

Posted on 15 CommentsPosted in Uncategorized

“A truly great business must have an enduring “moat” that protects excellent returns on invested capital.” –Warren Buffett, 2007 Shareholder Letter A reader recently sent me the following clips from the 2007 Shareholder Letter that pertains to a topic that we’ve discussed quite a bit here: the concept of return on capital, why it’s important, and how to think about it. For those interested, you could review all the previous posts on the concept of ROIC here. Basically, I just […]